It's a La Nina year for sure, the Bureau of Meteorology confirms.
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Forecasts for a wetter wet season have gained strength as a result.
The bureau has today declared a La Nina has developed in the Pacific Ocean, upgrading from a La Nina alert status to an active event.
La Nina weather years can also mean cooler days, more tropical cyclones, and an earlier onset of the first rains of the wet season across the north.
Katherine is hoping La Nina means a return to better wet seasons after two shockers in a row.
La Nina means recent changes in ocean temperatures and weather patterns over the Pacific are now likely to remain until at least the end of the year.
La Nina is the cool phase of the El Nino Southern Oscillation. It is associated with cooler than average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.
More reading: Wet season officially begins on Thursday.
La Nina events normally last for around a year, however they can be shorter, or much longer.
Recent observations and model forecasts show the central tropical Pacific Ocean is now 0.8°C cooler than normal, and that has resulted in changes to Trade Winds and pressure patterns. Climate models suggest these patterns will continue until at least the end of the year.
La Nina typically results in above-average spring rainfall for Australia, particularly across eastern, central and northern regions.
The last La Nina event occurred from 2010-2012 and resulted in one of Australia's wettest two-year periods on record.
Widespread flooding occurred in many parts of Australia associated with the record rainfalls.
Tropical cyclone activity in the 2010-2011 season was near normal.
However, five of the tropical cyclones during 2010-11 were in the severe category, which is above average, including Tropical Cyclone Yasi, which caused widespread damage to far north Queensland.
The impacts of La Nina can vary significantly between events. It is likely this year will not see the same intensity as the 2010-11 La Nina event, but is still likely to be of moderate strength, the bureau says.
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Chris McLennan
ACM national rural property writer based in Bacchus Marsh, Victoria. Career journalist. Multi award winner.
ACM national rural property writer based in Bacchus Marsh, Victoria. Career journalist. Multi award winner.
